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Future Tense

« On-Going Learning | Main | Minding Mind-Sets »

July 3, 2005


COMMENTS

1. Jim McGee on July 6, 2005 9:24 AM writes...

I'm sure podcasting will have its place, but I remain skeptical. I don't believe that podcasting in and of itself will significantly increase the current market that more or less matches to talk radio and books on tape. Podcasting may increase the market a bit by introducing more time-shifting, but I doubt that it will create large new markets.

On the supply side, podcasting demonstrates that audio/video is harder to produce than it looks. And it needs some minimal level of production values to be worth listening to. In the realm of words, blogging tools provide a threshold level of production value so that the blogger has only to focus on finding something interesting to write (and that in itself takes work). To do the same with podcasting would seem to require an order of magnitude more effort.

My prediction is that, after a novelty phase, podcasting will be an order of magnitude smaller phenomenon than blogging.

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2. Elizabeth Albrycht on July 6, 2005 10:28 AM writes...

Another important drawback to podcasting it that you are a prisoner to time when you listen to them. For example, I can scan 100s of words a minute to get the "gist" of things. But I can't do that with podcasts. I find, in fact, that I simply do not have the time to listen to them.

I don't commute, and I like to spend my daily walk thinking vs. listening. So, until there is a way to convert podcasts to text, I won't spend much time with them unless someone strongly urges me to listen to a particular one.

That being said, I think there is much potential for short podcasts (in the nature of a minute to 5 minutes) vs. longer ones. I think we'll see some creative uses of the technology once people break out of the broadcast/radio model so many are following right now.

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