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Future Tense

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December 9, 2005

Something's Happening Here....

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Posted by Jim Ware

Imagine for a moment that you’re the newly-appointed CEO of a Fortune 500 company. You are standing at a podium in the company cafeteria, dressed in your brand-new $1500 Brooks Brothers suit. You’re holding your first open meeting with your new company’s employees.

You’ve just delivered a few opening remarks about how pleased you are to have joined the organization, and how much you’re looking forward to working with everyone. Now you turn to the staff with a smile and say, “So, what’s on your minds? What can I tell you about myself and my vision for the company?”

And the first question (from a 30-something kid in khakis and a sweater) is:

“What makes you worth a million and a half a year when I’m only getting paid $50,000?”

Welcome to the executive suite.

That scene actually took place recently. Charlie Grantham and I heard the story from a good friend and colleague who was there, but who shall remain nameless for rather obvious reasons (it’s not just the New York Times that needs anonymous sources). He didn’t ask the CEO that question himself, but he did ask us, “What’s going on? Everyone I talk to and work with these days seems restless, frustrated, on edge. While I share some of that young guy’s feelings, I’m appalled that he was rude enough to ask it like that.”

We were taken aback too, but mostly we were surprised that the kid had the cojones to stand up to the CEO like that – not that he was angry about the pay differential, but that he was so upset that he was so willing to “tell it like it is” – or at least how it is to him.

But as we thought about it, this isn’t just another case of the younger generation not knowing the “rules” or not being polite enough to stay quiet. We’re convinced there’s something much, much deeper going on.

Consider for a moment several other recent events that also reflect unease, discomfort, frustration, angst, and even anger, about 21st century life (maybe Jimmy Carter’s famous comment about “malaise” was 25 years too soon).

Start with the most recent heated debates in the U.S. Congress (in both houses) about the Iraq war. They’re striking more for their outright hostility and complete lack of civility than they are for any progress they’ve generated in creating understanding of what’s going on or consensus about what to do. It looks to us like people on both sides of the aisle are incredibly angry about a situation they can’t seem to resolve and are just taking it out on each other. And no one wants to listen to any conflicing points of view or understanding of what's really happening.

Then consider the difficulty a middle manager we know was having completing performance reviews for several of his subordinates. They’re all part of a global team focused on infrastructure productivity improvement, and he can’t figure out how to isolate their individual contributions. As he put it, “None of them can claim to have produced any savings on their own, but the team as a whole has taken out over $2 million in costs over the last six months. I just can’t sort out who did what.”

I think our world (both at work and everywhere else) has gotten so complex and interconnected that a whole lot of folks (just about all of us, in fact) are feeling powerless, unable to have any impact on anything that matters to them, and ready to pull out, hunker down, and focus on their own lives – often to the exclusion of the world around them.

Our friend who told us about the attack on his new CEO mentioned that he feels like the folks up north of the Arctic Circle who get edgier and edgier every spring as they wait to hear the sound of thawing ice cracking on the rivers and in the bays. That’s a very important event because it signals that spring is coming, but they don’t really know when it’s going to happen (see this month’s “In Our Humble Opinion: Waiting for the Ice to Crack,” for more of why that’s an important insight).

The waiting for something they can’t control creates a lot of anxiety. They get nervous because they can’t get started on their spring chores until the ice breaks up, so they often take it out on each other – being cranky, short-tempered, and even (believe it or not) turning to certain forms of liquid refreshment to quench their thirst and help them tolerate the uncertainty.

Well, I think the whole world may be going through that kind of uncertainty right now. We’re waiting for the ice to break. The “game” has changed, but we don’t know why. And more importantly, we don’t know the rules for new game, or how to succeed at it. That’s a tough place to be, and we’re all getting edgier and edgier about it.

Wherever we turn, things aren’t going right, and it feels like we can’t do much about it. The weather has gone crazy (tsunamis, hurricanes, earthquakes, tornadoes – when do the locusts arrive?). Energy prices are completely unpredictable. We feel threatened by the possibilities of terrorism, we can’t seem to get on track in the Middle East, and major companies are declaring bankruptcy almost every day (if General Motors goes under, what company can we count on?). Health care costs are skyrocketing, the federal deficit is exploding, the stock market (and therefore everyone’s 401K) seems to be going nowhere, and there’s practically no job certainty anywhere any more.

And on top of that, the kind of work that many of us do has gotten more and more abstract, with less and less connection to tangible, measurable results. At the same time, we’re more dependent on others than ever before. We work in teams (or as part of extended value chains) with colleagues we’ve never met (and who often don’t speak the same language or live on the same continent). And we’re doing everything in less and less predictable ways. We move around a lot, no two days follow the same pattern, we often don’t see our boss or teammates for days or weeks at a time, and we can’t be sure the damn computer will work today like it did yesterday (and if it doesn’t we’ve lost control once again).

No wonder we’re so anxious.

So what do anxious folks do who can’t figure out what or who to blame? They strike out at authority figures. They challenge their leaders. They “retreat” to their families and their local communities. They hunker down. They look for alternative sources of comfort and for strong leaders who they hope will make sense of it all.

As Charlie and I talk to corporate folks around the country and continue our quest to understand how to construct positive organizational change (in spite of it all, we’re still optimists), we’re thinking of constructing a “Near-death Index."

What’s a Near-Death Index? Truth is, we haven’t actually invented one, but if we did it would be an indicator of just how close to complete collapse an organization (or a society) is. Because, like it or not, that seems to be what it takes to become open to genuine, meaningful change – to put aside old habits and assumptions and embrace transformational change as the only way to survive. As someone once said, “There’s nothing like facing hanging in the morning to focus one’s mind.”

The really sobering thought that keeps me awake all too many nights is that I'm starting to think our whole society may be in the throes of a near-death experience (at least I hope it’s only a near death).

Yet, I remain an optimist. If it really does take near-death to drive Big Change, then maybe – just maybe – we’re on the brink of something important and positive. I sure as hell hope so! One thing I do know for sure: this isn’t a time to predict the future by extrapolating trends.

This is a time of major discontinuity, and for imagining the unimaginable. We need to develop totally new scenarios for the future of work (and of life outside of work). When the ice finally does break I suspect we’re going to find that it’s completely rebuilt the shore line – and we just might discover we’re on a whole new continent.

This is an adaptation of a thought piece I wrote for the December issue of Future of Work Agenda, a free monthly electronic newsletter published by the Work Design Collaborative. You can sign up for the mailing list at our website, www.futureofwork.net.

Comments (3) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Management Practices


COMMENTS

1. mungojelly on December 11, 2005 1:18 PM writes...

Welcome to the Singularity. It is not going to become clear any time soon. We are not going to make any sense of these changes before the next ones come. Please buckle in; we are expecting turbulence for the next few decades. <3

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2. eddie willers on December 11, 2005 10:26 PM writes...

I think in the short term we are seeing the last gasp of the management as gods paradigm. At the end of all empires, the most gold is grabbed by those who are entrenched. Information technology, the need for speed, the need to make decisions, etc will all dis-empower the existing power structures. A lot of the gate keepers in corporations will lose their power of information: the accountants, purchasing, management as the cost of sharing and processing information decreases.

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3. Frank Walsh on December 15, 2005 9:36 PM writes...

This is a disappointingly pessimistic article. Frankly I’m surprised that Jim demonstrates such mistrust in the effectiveness of a free market. I haven’t noticed this in his writing before.

I must say I do not agree with the general sentiment of this. At my company, we recognize the challenges of globalization and distributed work and we are working hard to communicate with our people to help them understand how the nature of work is changing for them.

Sure, there is much uncertainty, but I have every confidence that developed economies will continue to adapt to exploit new market opportunities, and continue to lead the rest of the world for many years to come. There is no near death experience on the horizon save for that of a few dinosaur industries and companies who have refused to change or who have dug their own graves with the shovels of organized labor and protectionist policies.

Markets work Jim, have some faith.

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